Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 6.717250 7.414894 8.189609 9.120673 10.218682 11.484392 13.071625
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.551538 6.450089 7.530495 8.951220 10.811533 13.227910 16.719311
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.897931 5.878497 7.119965 8.855663 11.306086 14.794275 20.464695
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.396653 5.399397 6.716904 8.644717 11.529497 15.953452 23.921174
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.065125 5.090490 6.481362 8.600005 11.943342 17.447614 28.447161
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.799062 4.835851 6.280835 8.560204 12.332527 18.968177 33.670352
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.646057 4.719109 6.256894 8.773490 13.158728 21.471031 42.333208
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.388846 4.429841 5.946796 8.485595 13.054391 22.144369 47.007600
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.162302 4.167950 5.654047 8.188998 12.879651 22.621866 51.493594
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.989269 3.972832 5.447077 8.011438 12.896441 23.520345 57.981661
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.864799 3.841756 5.328830 7.971641 13.172420 25.098667 68.296943
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.859464 3.890064 5.498223 8.458605 14.611626 30.096198 99.483249
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.775594 3.819711 5.482026 8.632275 15.491237 34.248882 138.562577
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.636477 3.655230 5.298392 8.472294 15.601743 36.267095 172.389842
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.522827 3.524028 5.160424 8.384036 15.866409 38.972269 225.921197
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.402650 3.375003 4.980108 8.189504 15.829245 40.639937 281.793959
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.316396 3.276338 4.880523 8.148250 16.180015 44.047234 400.679686
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.237834 3.185795 4.788441 8.111519 16.537912 47.796735 605.073363
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.197855 3.157009 4.804913 8.308272 17.599053 55.726690 1373.199619
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.098747 3.023338 4.620146 8.042650 17.255033 56.402283 1883.860135
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.005039 2.895030 4.438530 7.768634 16.841569 56.527842 2542.868857
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.931500 2.798179 4.310392 7.604413 16.740105 58.472105 4609.117180
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.878563 2.734452 4.240813 7.567587 17.036056 63.198853 19658.103426